Momentum Analysis for Vic Wulsin (9/29-30, likely voters, June in parens):
Vic Wulsin (D): 36 (33)
Jean Schmidt (R-inc): 37 (41)
David Krikorian (I): 11 (6)
Undecided: 16 (19)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Looks like the GOP is hitting an economic road-bump everywhere. This is still gonna be a tough race, but damn, Schmidt always makes things interesting.
The full polling memo is available below the fold.
UPDATE: Schmidt has released her own poll by the Tarrance Group from early September showing her up on Wulsin by a 52-36 margin, with another 6% going to Krikorian.
1. Democratic internal
2. Too red of a district w/ all those undecideds.
This poll is just one indicator of Vic Wulsin’s viability. She’s picked up endorsements from a number of PACs recently.
The Women’s Campaign Forum is featuring Wuslin, along with 6 other pro-choice women candidates, in a contest they’re calling Voices for Choices. She’s doing pretty well and is currently in position to pick up a $1,500 PAC contribution from WCF (she’s in 2nd place behind Sam Bennett from PA).
Take a look here: http://www.democracyengine.com…
Why are people so pessimistic about this poll? An incumbent well under 50% in a rematch of last cycles close race (decided by less than 1%) – sounds great to me! This is a great pick up opportunity.
If a voter is undecided this late in the election, that does not bode well for the incumbent, in this case Jean Schmidt. They know “mean” Jean, and for them to be undecided really says something about the nature of this race. No challenger race is easy, but these numbers are promising.